Showing posts with label eternal optimism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label eternal optimism. Show all posts

Friday, May 15, 2009

RESULTS: Eternal Optimism of a Simple Mind

Below you'll find a post from 2 weeks ago where I boldly predicted a fairly optimistic, game-by-game scenario for each of the AL East's "big three" which has now been updated with the actual results from each team. I think you'll find that I was shockingly close to correctly assessing each team's 14 game results. Although there may have been 2 or 3 individual games which were missed along the way the 14 game and overall records landed remarkably close to what I had predicted.

Despite the Rays inability to consistently win games they nearly accomplished what I, and others, originally considered a very optimistic 2 week prediction. In fact one of our writers (Dustin) proclaimed in the comments section of the original post:

"If this dream scenario actually comes to pass, I will be singing and dancing in the streets of New York…"

Well Dustin, start dancing , or at least tapping your toe, because despite it all, it played out about as well as it could have.

As the charts indicate I missed each team's actual overall record by just one game; with New York and Tampa Bay finishing 1 game worse than I had expected (thanks to The Rays' great effort last night) and Boston doing 1 better than predicted. With results like these I should be getting calls from major TV networks asking for my playoff predictions soon. My breath is official being held.


ORIGINAL POST (with results added):

Everyone knows that I always lean toward the pessimistic side, but today I've turned over a new leaf. Today I present to you the most optimistic outcome of the upcoming 2 weeks that I can possibly fathom while staying within the realm of reality.

I've gone through the schedules for Boston, New York, and of course Tampa for a span of the next 14 games and worked out what I believe could be the possible outcome of each game and have calculated to see where the pieces fall as of May 14th.

TAMPA BAY

PREDICTED

ACTUAL

Boston

W

W

Boston

W

W

Boston

L

L

Boston

W

W

Baltimore

W

L

Baltimore

W

W

@New York

L

W

@New York

W

W

@Boston

W

L

@Boston

L

W

@Boston

L

L

@Baltimore

W

L

@Baltimore

L

W

Cleveland

W

L

Record from 4/30- 5/14

9-5

8-6

Overall Record as of May 14th

17-19

16-20

BOSTON

PREDICTED

ACTUAL

@Tampa Bay

L

L

@Tampa Bay

L

L

@Tampa Bay

W

W

@Tampa Bay

L

L

@New York

W

W

@New York

L

W

Cleveland

W

L

Cleveland

L

W

Tampa Bay

L

W

Tampa Bay

W

L

Tampa Bay

W

W

LAA

W

W

LAA

L

L

LAA

L

L

Record from 4/30- 5/14

6-8

7-7

Overall Record as of May 14th

20-15

21-14

NEW YORK

PREDICTED

ACTUAL

LAA

W

W

LAA

L

W

LAA

W

L

LAA

L

POSTPONED

Boston

L

L

Boston

W

L

Tampa Bay

L

L

Tampa Bay

W

L

@Baltimore

L

W

@Baltimore

W

L

@Baltimore

W

W

@Toronto

L

L

@Toronto

W

W

@Toronto

L

W

Record from 4/30- 5/14

7-7

6-7

Overall Record as of May 14th

18-16*

17-17


*The May 3rd Yankees v. Angels game (which I predicted as a NY loss) was postponed, so I've adjusted their record accordingly by taking away one loss from my projected standings as of May 14th.

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Eternal Optimism of a Simple Mind

Everyone knows that I always lean toward the pessimistic side, but today I've turned over a new leaf. Today I present to you the most optimistic outcome of the upcoming 2 weeks that I can possibly fathom while staying within the realm of reality.

I've gone through the schedules for Boston, New York, and of course Tampa for a span of the next 14 games and worked out what I believe could be the possible outcome of each game and have calculated to see where the pieces fall as of May 14th.

TAMPA BAY

Boston

W

Boston

W

Boston

L

Boston

W

Baltimore

W

Baltimore

W

@New York

L

@New York

W

@Boston

W

@Boston

L

@Boston

L

@Baltimore

W

@Baltimore

L

Cleveland

W

Record from 4/30- 5/14

9-5

Overall Record as of May 14th

17-18


BOSTON

@Tampa Bay

L

@Tampa Bay

L

@Tampa Bay

W

@Tampa Bay

L

@New York

W

@New York

L

Cleveland

W

Cleveland

L

Tampa Bay

L

Tampa Bay

W

Tampa Bay

W

LAA

W

LAA

L

LAA

L

Record from 4/30- 5/14

6-8

Overall Record as of May 14th

19-15


NEW YORK

LAA

W

LAA

L

LAA

W

LAA

L

Boston

L

Boston

W

Tampa Bay

L

Tampa Bay

W

@Baltimore

L

@Baltimore

W

@Baltimore

W

@Toronto

L

@Toronto

W

@Toronto

L

Record from 4/30- 5/14

7-7

Overall Record as of May 14th

18-16*


If this were to hold true then 2 weeks from tomorrow the Rays would only trail the Red Sox by 3.5 games, while trailing the Yankees by 1.5 games.

So, despite all the pessimism and uproar of the first 3 weeks of the season, if this highly plausible outcome were to actually occur the Rays would find themselves right back in the hunt as they headed into the end of May. Of course if the Rays continue their inconsistent play and only win 4 or 5 of those 14 games then they might as well start shaking things up in the lineup because their hopes will be fading fast. Carl Crawford fast, no Usain Bolt fast.

*The May 3rd Yankees v. Angels game (which I predicted as a NY loss) was postponed, so I've adjusted their record accordingly by taking away one loss from my projected standings as of May 14th.