- Kazmir would have made 7 more regular season starts- at the most. More likely 6 due to the possibility for a 6th starter in September or a reshuffling of the rotation in order to make a playoff push.
- Kazmir's career numbers show us that he wins about 55% of his starts.
- Lets assume Kaz would've won 4 of those 6 or 7 remaining starts (as per his career numbers).
- Lets also assume, for the sake of argument, that Sonnanstine gets the call-up. Sonny's career numbers show us that he wins 49% of his starts.
- So given those numbers can't we assume that he (Sonny) would be most likely to win 3 of those 6 or 7 starts?
Given that set of facts and using a very reasonable set of assumptions isn't fair to say that trading Kazmir should potentially only cost the Rays 1 game?
Most likely the Rays now have the salary space to excercise their option on CC for next season and all it cost them in terms of success was 1 game in 2009 (a campaign which is holding-on by a thread anyways). From that angle it looks like a smart move.
Its hard to argue with that logic, but go ahead and try, I dare ya.